Broken-Dogwood
0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$706.9K
Total PnL
$-133.3K
Realised
$102.8K
Win rate
71%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
533137 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$532.9K
$266.57
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
66484 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$66.1K
$668.77
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
22222 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.9K
$144.47
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
11553 shares @ 57.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$22.41
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
10185 shares @ 35.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.4K
$2.7K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25553 shares @ 20.3¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.7K
$547.52
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
5555 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.5K
$-36.11
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
5638 shares @ 91.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.3K
$138.37
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
5192 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.2K
$112.57
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
3333 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.3K
$51.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.60May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$19.57May 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.53May 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.50May 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$4.91May 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.22May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$0.98May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.22May 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.97May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$6.11May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$8.62May 18, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$11.44May 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$259.65May 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$47.74May 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$183.33May 18, 01:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$16.03May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$40.62May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.1KMay 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.7KMay 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.8KMay 18, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$9.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 18, 00:10 UTC → May 18, 00:03 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.8K@98¢May 18, 00:03 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$9.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$9.8K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
$9.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".