Ringed-Grenade
0x26572868adcee0e5136dc8d33756e9879d0d42e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-295.36
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
29605 shares @ 23.1¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$-2.7K
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
350 shares @ 22.6¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$75.25
$-3.92
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
1061 shares @ 16.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$53.04
$-126.38
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
234 shares @ 15.9¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$26.73
$-10.50
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
945 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$18.90
$-23.77
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
28 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.49
$-0.83
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
8429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-118.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
312 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
221 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-21.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$8.19May 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.05May 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.55May 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.05May 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.05May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.05May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.07May 17, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$8.70May 17, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.07May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.07May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.06May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.05May 17, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".