Defenseless-Placement
0x275cfee6b4d1da10cb6ea5b63107589e07d86090
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$20.5K
Total PnL
$662.76
Realised
$27.60
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
630 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$620.88
$59.88
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
669 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$605.49
$43.49
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
634 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$604.00
$65.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
686 shares @ 80.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$599.94
$47.97
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
634 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$592.79
$60.23
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
616 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$588.74
$27.74
- NO
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?
588 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$579.47
$18.47
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
645 shares @ 82.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$557.63
$28.46
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
598 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$553.31
$15.22
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
604 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$546.89
$-15.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?$128.36May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?$204.55May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?$139.38May 18, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$474.95May 18, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$23.03May 17, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 16, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 16, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$84.32May 16, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$92.28May 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?$205.74May 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$206.89May 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$196.39May 16, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$230.34May 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$69.41May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$318.23May 16, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 15, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $125.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".