Sorrowful-Samovar
0x2843d543c60a54106f572ab74f0e2e04f293b3d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$378.23
Realised
$364.52
Win rate
81%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 69.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$462.50
$112.90
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
800 shares @ 39.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$316.00
$0.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
286 shares @ 69.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$270.63
$70.86
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 50.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$253.50
$102.50
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
401 shares @ 69.7¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$246.74
$-33.02
- NO
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
305 shares @ 58.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$201.29
$21.75
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
302 shares @ 70.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.08
$-13.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
200 shares @ 58.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$191.30
$75.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
224 shares @ 51.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$189.31
$74.35
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
600 shares @ 28.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.00
$15.53
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.46May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$31.00May 18, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.88May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$90.00May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$26.43May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$82.88May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$64.00May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$64.00May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.62May 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$5.70May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$29.11May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$168.00May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$72.54May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$31.18May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$6.02May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$22.61May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$80.15May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$4.35May 17, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$3.51May 17, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $35.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".