Tepid-Monopoly
0x28bf066c6cb952da62d6d182c16ad173ada64a4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.60
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$-206.64
Win rate
20%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?
724 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.72
$-102.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1243 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.62
$-123.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1243 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.62
$-123.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1243 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.62
$-123.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1235 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.62
$-122.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1235 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.62
$-122.89
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 38 million views on day 2?
1230 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.61
$-175.12
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 40 million views on day 2?
1064 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.53
$-151.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1044 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.52
$-103.88
- YES
Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
600 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.30
$-21.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$0.86May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$7.20May 18, 09:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Decision in July?$30.00May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$28.44May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$28.50May 18, 09:10 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 2?$30.00May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$7.50May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$3.08May 18, 09:04 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Decision in July?$30.00May 18, 09:01 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 2?$30.00May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$28.50May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.15May 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$11.10May 18, 08:54 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 2?$1.24May 18, 08:54 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 2?$0.71May 18, 08:54 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 2?$365.00May 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$14.70May 18, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$17.91May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$14.70May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$4.58May 18, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".