Fruitful-Sleet
0x2aacd459eaea420eb0d7b94c7b03238786c6dfad
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-685.40
Realised
$-9.88
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1091 shares @ 91.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$54.85
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
670 shares @ 70.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$486.01
$10.91
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?
183 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$178.34
$28.34
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
115 shares @ 86.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$109.66
$9.66
- NO
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
111 shares @ 89.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$107.84
$7.84
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
123 shares @ 40.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$77.17
$27.77
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
65 shares @ 47.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.55
$32.24
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
65 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.77
$8.77
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 75.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.34
$6.34
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
921 shares @ 17.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$53.87
$-106.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$59.18May 18, 03:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$17.24May 16, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 06:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$71.66May 14, 13:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.00May 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$100.00May 13, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$900.00May 13, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$10.00May 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$5.00May 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$1.02May 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$4.74May 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$5.09May 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.17May 13, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $147.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".