Imaginary-Closet
0x2bcd792138a4e184f791b05d9c5c70e3c8f7cbfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-11.6K
Realised
$30.91
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
2671 shares @ 66.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.7K
$895.12
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
804 shares @ 49.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$695.61
$295.61
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
217 shares @ 73.6¢·now 94.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$204.67
$44.67
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
162 shares @ 64.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$145.36
$41.16
- NO
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
149 shares @ 80.9¢·now 90.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$135.07
$14.90
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
174 shares @ 70.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$134.91
$12.26
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
146 shares @ 86.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$132.06
$5.56
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
133 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$125.35
$0.35
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
104 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$103.59
$3.59
- NO
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
230 shares @ 38.2¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.13
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$25.00May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$55.00May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$7.43May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$17.95May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$2.07May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$8.85May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$17.42May 18, 07:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$1.04May 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 17?$26.21May 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$6.10May 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$3.05May 17, 13:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$6.79May 16, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$4.60May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$67.51May 15, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$6.70May 15, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 12?$7.88May 15, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.00May 15, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $16.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".