Submissive-Rosemary
0x30a0c0554c1f86675123d2a09be36e999585a458
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$273.37
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-228.92
Win rate
75%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
197 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.55
$-6.90
- YES
Will Brian Shortsleeve win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?
227 shares @ 25.6¢·now 11.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$25.25
$-32.75
- YES
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
1070 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$17.66
$-30.99
- NO
Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?
375 shares @ 3.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$15.92
$2.86
- YES
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
203 shares @ 1.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$13.30
$10.06
- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
150 shares @ 4.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.93
$5.10
- NO
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
690 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.35
$-3.74
- YES
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
390 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$9.55
$5.18
- YES
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
450 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.78
$2.53
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
310 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.68
$5.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?$1.40May 18, 02:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.17May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$11.05May 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$3.23May 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?$24.52May 17, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?$16.83May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?$46.54May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$16.25May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.52May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$15.41May 17, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$1.69May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$0.60May 17, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$17.51May 17, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.35May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.57May 17, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$1.46May 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.50May 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$4.87May 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$0.04May 16, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?$16.98May 16, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".