Daring-Liquor
0x33db47152223a9b30a1891902402ad7e3485417a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$194.53
Realised
$584.59
Win rate
70%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
950 shares @ 84.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$741.00
$-62.47
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
452 shares @ 31.3¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$352.26
$210.83
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
400 shares @ 78.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$262.00
$-53.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
300 shares @ 66.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$213.00
$15.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
567 shares @ 46.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.44
$-64.91
- NO
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
419 shares @ 43.8¢·now 48.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$200.93
$17.77
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
326 shares @ 27.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.25
$97.03
- NO
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
236 shares @ 48.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$185.14
$70.12
- NO
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
1044 shares @ 34.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.03
$-237.80
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
253 shares @ 38.7¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.70
$5.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$0.17May 17, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$0.83May 17, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.00May 17, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".