Our-Dough
0x38e59b36aae31b164200d0cad7c3fe5e0ee795e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$149.8K
Total PnL
$-163.6K
Realised
$60.3K
Win rate
68%
116 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
22366 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.9K
$-34.44
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
21132 shares @ 56.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$13.2K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67937 shares @ 15.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.3K
$1.0K
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
15081 shares @ 50.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.6K
$2.0K
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
13857 shares @ 52.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.1K
$1.8K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45214 shares @ 12.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.3K
$2.4K
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
14852 shares @ 33.1¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.5K
$1.5K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
26493 shares @ 16.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.7K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
5572 shares @ 79.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.6K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5809 shares @ 65.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$82.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92.21May 18, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$21.00May 18, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$14.00May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$11.00May 18, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.5KMay 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$45.59May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$47.32May 18, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.1KMay 18, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$553.00May 18, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$740.00May 18, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?$500.00May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$57.28May 18, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$49.00May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$42.81May 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$42.29May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$58.58May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$15.25May 18, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?$375.00May 18, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Greyserman finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$25.04May 18, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 PGA Championship?$491.00May 18, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $78.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 116 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".