Quarrelsome-Filth
0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$23.5K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
67%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.2K
$4.7K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$-4.7K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
2441 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$84.64
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
1572 shares @ 51.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.4K
$557.89
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
1060 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$943.40
$42.40
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.01
$-5.00
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$595.01
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10172 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$559.47
$111.52
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
500 shares @ 63.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$344.95
$29.95
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
1986 shares @ 9.3¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$273.02
$88.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$26.67May 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$114.00May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$109.67May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.33May 18, 00:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.40May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.76May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$6.76May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$5.28May 17, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on May 17?$2.86May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on May 17?$2.20May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$0.40May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$0.65May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 17?$0.65May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 17?$1.26May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$3.80May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?$3.15May 17, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$20.34May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$11.78May 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$52.60May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.13May 17, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $179.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".