Upbeat-Inside
0x38fd6f4749467d13f36ce954c53a14e31c4f45ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$59.22
Total PnL
$-247.40
Realised
$3.36
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
40 shares @ 49.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.89
$-2.11
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 63.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.88
$2.13
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
45 shares @ 30.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.14
$-5.58
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
10 shares @ 63.8¢·now 45.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.53
$-1.85
- YES
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30?
168 shares @ 5.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.03
$-6.97
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
26 shares @ 37.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-7.75
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
11 shares @ 44.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-3.11
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.23
$-2.17
- YES
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.77
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$2.20May 11, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.60May 11, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$6.38May 3, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.75May 3, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$3.40Apr 30, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$5.60Apr 30, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$3.00Apr 30, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?$1.53Apr 30, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.02Apr 30, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$13.71Apr 30, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$24.95Apr 30, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$4.20Apr 27, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?$1.06Apr 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.90Apr 27, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 27, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$8.28Apr 27, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$6.00Apr 25, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.22Apr 21, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$14.33Apr 21, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.40Apr 14, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".