Arctic-Equipment
0x3964fc00637ebd4d7ebf2754c8bfa9fa121566b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-240.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
253 shares @ 79.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$186.08
$-13.92
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
849 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$141.42
$6.82
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
685 shares @ 14.6¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$123.63
$23.63
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
426 shares @ 70.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$121.49
$-178.51
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$119.81
$19.81
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
133 shares @ 75.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.04
$9.04
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
877 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
364 shares @ 27.5¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$90.73
$-9.27
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
62 shares @ 80.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.87
$-49.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$10.36May 19, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 19, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 19, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$200.00May 19, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$200.00May 19, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.39May 15, 15:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$111.11May 9, 08:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $213.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".