Juvenile-Hypothesis
0x3bef3a6bc4b1d895ed24ca37e88f06367a8ef04e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$231.75
Total PnL
$121.47
Realised
$363.28
Win rate
68%
146 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
434 shares @ 5.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$119.22
$95.93
- YES
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?
145 shares @ 5.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$14.11
$5.63
- YES
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
2116 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.64
$5.14
- YES
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
179 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.60
$2.21
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
197 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.97
$-0.10
- YES
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
675 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.10
$-1.05
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
145 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.92
$1.97
- YES
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
521 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.68
$1.52
- YES
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?
793 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.36
$-9.91
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?
209 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$4.08
$2.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$0.21May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$0.13May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$0.52May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$0.01May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00May 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$0.27May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.27May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.27May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.27May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.27May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.27May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.27May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.48May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.46May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.57May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.18May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.20May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.20May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$1.23May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.01May 18, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 146 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".