Watchful-Tailbud
0x3d57651401f658649dd3aefece66531fb1ef2b4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-2.5K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$987.50
$-6.17
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1003 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$978.57
$-2.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$915.02
$-25.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?
100 shares @ 96.3¢·now 86.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$86.74
$-9.55
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$64.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$25.25
$-9.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
21 shares @ 51.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$20.89
$10.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
17 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.68
$8.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
16 shares @ 48.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.24
$8.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
12 shares @ 44.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.72
$6.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.84May 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.84May 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.80May 19, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.49May 19, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.84May 19, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$2.84May 19, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$2.84May 19, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$2.71May 19, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$2.70May 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.70May 19, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.50May 19, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.44May 19, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.80May 19, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.85May 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.85May 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.14May 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.99May 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.85May 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.69May 19, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.69May 19, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".