Constant-Snowplow
0x3e5630959499c5b5e55aceeeeae7446933d335d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$604.00
Total PnL
$84.79
Realised
$18.20
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
45 shares @ 41.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.84
$24.09
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
41 shares @ 70.1¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.45
$11.42
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
49 shares @ 58.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.30
$10.30
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
42 shares @ 64.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.65
$5.99
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
44 shares @ 72.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.47
$-1.65
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 59.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.09
$9.09
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
32 shares @ 61.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.27
$9.51
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
30 shares @ 82.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.44
$3.44
- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
30 shares @ 62.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.94
$6.30
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
25 shares @ 67.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.92
$6.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$0.00May 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.07May 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$2.02May 18, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$0.80May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.00May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.00May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?$1.01May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.00May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.00May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$0.60May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of May 18 2026?$1.01May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?$1.02May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?$1.01May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.13May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$0.70May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.65May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.00May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$0.23May 18, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".