Intentional-Facsimile
0x3eac7a5f0419f2efd13d21f3f1c0d0e5566efe52
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$335.50
Total PnL
$5.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
190 shares @ 80.3¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$173.19
$20.68
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
90 shares @ 93.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$83.25
$-0.74
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
15 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$11.47
$-0.07
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 60.5¢·now 79.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$7.99
$1.93
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
190 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.70
$-1.22
- YES
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
15 shares @ 37.2¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$6.60
$1.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 29.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.05
$2.12
- YES
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
15 shares @ 26.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.58
$0.62
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
90 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.91
$-0.47
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
190 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.13
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?$0.05May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?$0.12May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?$0.20May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?$0.41May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$1.76May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?$0.05May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$2.07May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?$0.05May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.04May 18, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.07May 18, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.83May 18, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.03May 18, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.04May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.07May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.83May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.03May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.28May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.39May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.57May 17, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".