0x3ead0a759e33b3faee403f2865bc86ba4b964874
0x3ead0a759e33b3faee403f2865bc86ba4b964874
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$117.22
Total PnL
$-24.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
12 shares @ 29.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.01
$3.53
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.10
$-0.34
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor Secretary
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.66
$0.73
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.55
$0.55
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.42
$0.42
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$5.41
$0.42
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.20
$1.19
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.05
$0.10
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
8 shares @ 45.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.04
$1.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.55May 16, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.64May 16, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$6.00May 16, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.26May 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$4.40May 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$4.78May 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$4.73May 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?$4.87May 12, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.67May 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.10May 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.58May 11, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$5.13May 11, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$7.57May 11, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$5.19May 10, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.93May 10, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.00May 2, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 2, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$0.00May 2, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$7.69May 2, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$0.00Apr 30, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".