Plaintive-Retreat
0x3f6f986196ebebbb529cc18a331bf211c299e536
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$570.22
Total PnL
$-227.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.46
$-11.54
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.83
$20.83
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
291 shares @ 22.4¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.85
$4.72
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.49
$-32.51
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
94 shares @ 32.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.34
$17.34
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
2280 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.06
$-66.94
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.12
$-0.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.72
$-27.27
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.56
$-0.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.00May 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.04May 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 16, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$5.00May 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$5.00May 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$11.00May 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$10.00May 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?$10.00May 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$10.00May 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 16, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$1.00May 16, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$10.00May 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$10.00May 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$10.36May 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina$1.01May 16, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".