Murky-Cowboy
0x404a0b6396080a5e97f08982c25d6da14b13575d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-362.85
Realised
$-26.74
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
472 shares @ 71.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$337.28
$-1.12
- YES
Will Bangladesh win?
302 shares @ 17.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$253.51
$202.27
- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
215 shares @ 41.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$89.15
$0.74
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
762 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$87.26
$-6.75
- NO
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
98 shares @ 73.0¢·now 69.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.60
$-3.15
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
431 shares @ 18.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.82
$-43.41
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
621 shares @ 30.8¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$36.00
$-155.31
- YES
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
50 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$29.25
$2.75
- NO
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
120 shares @ 29.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$24.56
$-11.01
- NO
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
26 shares @ 79.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.29
$1.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$10.29May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$46.83May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTest Series Bangladesh vs. Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan - Match goes to Day 4?$45.67May 18, 06:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.14May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$11.63May 17, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$2.72May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$292.70May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$400.00May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$25.11May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$46.92May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$180.00May 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$151.17May 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$25.42May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$138.58May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$40.42May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$42.49May 17, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$70.00May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$67.50May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$60.16May 17, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $84.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".