0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4
0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$23.8K
Total PnL
$-21.7K
Realised
$197.80
Win rate
34%
95 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83619 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.0K
$-293.84
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
68516 shares @ 35.9¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$-21.5K
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18568 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$17.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8686 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$23.43
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1560 shares @ 63.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$192.75
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3021 shares @ 34.1¢·now 35.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$30.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
963 shares @ 83.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$890.82
$84.52
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4845 shares @ 17.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$884.27
$60.81
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6777 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$769.22
$-3.23
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15561 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$350.13
$-7.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.30May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$41.50May 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.84May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.66May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$21.43May 18, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$10.64May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$17.85May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$0.00May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.45 on May 17?$0.00May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.62May 18, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$0.00May 18, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02May 18, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMJalen Duren: Points O/U 2.5$0.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-8.5)$0.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$76.84May 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$0.02May 18, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $14.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 95 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".