Disguised-Pajamas
0x426227d4a9c4ad5a1aae7f2706238f2154b9abaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$11.13
Realised
$270.59
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
2750 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$1.73
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
1946 shares @ 70.7¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.1K
$-315.46
- YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
650 shares @ 88.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$617.18
$41.40
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
486 shares @ 74.3¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$369.37
$8.40
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
200 shares @ 86.4¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.60
$8.80
- NO
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
296 shares @ 44.2¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.10
$-0.52
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
204 shares @ 59.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$127.72
$6.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
175 shares @ 49.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.65
$27.07
- NO
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?
109 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.19
$11.55
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
221 shares @ 39.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$98.33
$10.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$181.03May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$200.00May 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$18.16May 18, 02:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$15.95May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$241.96May 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$1.41May 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$750.63May 17, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$743.34May 17, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$50.01May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$75.99May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin visit China by May 31?$109.78May 17, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$15.34May 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$36.42May 16, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$88.10May 16, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$110.11May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$47.57May 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$110.99May 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$110.11May 16, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $118.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".