United-Ethnicity
0x43e2edf8d9b5acc69e419f660b265c5c94535fbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$485.42
Total PnL
$-116.82
Realised
$19.34
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 68.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$342.50
$1.10
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$74.50
$0.50
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$61.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 45.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.92
$0.02
- YES
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?
5062 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-130.66
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
175 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?
100 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- NO
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
6 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.80May 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.25May 19, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.21May 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$62.00May 19, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$74.00May 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$133.85May 19, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$7.14May 19, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$61.00May 19, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$7.01May 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$90.36May 18, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$43.25May 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$52.00May 18, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$28.00May 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$37.00May 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$34.00May 18, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$34.00May 18, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$75.28May 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$44.40May 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$15.00May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$15.00May 18, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $47.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".