Cruel-Trafficker
0x454c8364b06d56df31531b1fc5bc083f5c1ebd22
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$95.51
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$17.3K
Win rate
93%
120 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- YES
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
400 shares @ 9.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.94
$14.32
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3291 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$37.84
$-23.60
- YES
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.73
$1.60
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
198818 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-472.79
- YES
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
130830 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-639.37
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
102248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-792.93
- YES
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
101405 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-302.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
93697 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-111.69
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
91644 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-117.67
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
85927 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-879.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2.06May 17, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$155.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 17, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 17, 02:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$54.32May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.02May 17, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.04May 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.08May 17, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.05May 17, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$18.57May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 16, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 16, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.11May 16, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.02May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.87May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$6.99May 16, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 120 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".