Gregarious-Comedy
0x46763efe923365323210a6ad2c01dabcf15d6065
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$493.44
Total PnL
$-326.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
315 shares @ 63.5¢·now 58.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$182.63
$-17.37
- NO
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$146.55
$46.55
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.81
$0.81
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
829 shares @ 24.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.61
$-154.38
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
800 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$31.60
$-8.40
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
93 shares @ 53.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.03
$-29.97
- YES
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
662 shares @ 12.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$16.21
$-63.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
837 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?
69 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?$51.01May 1, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$104.52Apr 26, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$59.05Apr 24, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$46.70Apr 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$200.00Apr 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.00Apr 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.00Apr 23, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$40.00Apr 22, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$80.00Apr 21, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?$93.01Apr 20, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$80.00Apr 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$50.00Apr 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?$50.00Apr 18, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$57.26Apr 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$60.52Apr 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$100.00Apr 17, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$100.00Apr 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?$50.00Apr 16, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$243.78Apr 16, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $70.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".