0x46f3c47343853e81f507ac0bb03f1faa5c89897a
0x46f3c47343853e81f507ac0bb03f1faa5c89897a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$17.42
Total PnL
$-2.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.29
$0.81
- NO
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 77.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.22
$0.72
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 79.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.15
$0.65
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.44
$-0.06
- NO
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$2.11
$0.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Chair" this week?
8 shares @ 32.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.03
$-1.42
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.80
$-1.68
- YES
Will Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.72
$-0.47
- NO
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.65
$-1.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.24May 20, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chair" this week?$2.52May 20, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.09May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.16May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.25May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$0.00May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?$0.00May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$0.00May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Blackwell" this week?$0.00May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$7.23May 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "North Korea" this week?$0.00May 15, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Blackwell" this week?$1.87May 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "North Korea" this week?$2.39May 13, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?$2.30May 13, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$2.25May 13, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of April?$2.61May 12, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$2.75May 12, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?$2.87May 12, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$3.09May 12, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?$3.16May 12, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".