Alarming-Soup
0x4771e811193e491dbbe6c06870e7fa944014b432
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$87.28
Total PnL
$-843.09
Realised
$1.48
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
11 shares @ 87.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.31
$0.82
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.26
$0.66
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.43
$0.53
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
7 shares @ 85.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.42
$0.26
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- KEYD
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- KEYD
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- UNDER
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner$5.05May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)$5.07May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs$5.04May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner$5.05May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)$5.05May 22, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5$5.06May 22, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5$5.07May 22, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs$5.10May 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Ursa vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner$5.07May 22, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Avalanche$22.92May 21, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$8.93May 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)$7.35May 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Knicks$8.62May 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)$5.05May 20, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.07May 20, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$5.06May 20, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5$10.00May 20, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$5.12May 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5$5.08May 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins$5.08May 19, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".