Forsaken-Outhouse
0x47ab026767cc320ac6e62f6ec747d59cf4d795df
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$313.7K
Total PnL
$6.4K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
58%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.5K
$24.5K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
32500 shares @ 90.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$29.4K
$-112.48
- NO
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
31125 shares @ 84.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.8K
$2.6K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
25000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.0K
$87.90
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
19911 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.4K
$131.55
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
17500 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.4K
$272.98
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
15000 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.2K
$-38.26
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
13042 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.9K
$360.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
12500 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.4K
$361.26
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
16987 shares @ 38.3¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$10.6K
$4.1K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$95.00May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$120.00May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$90.00May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$70.00May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.5KMay 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$101.00May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$39.40May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$51.98May 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$36.52May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.5KMay 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$217.23May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.4KMay 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$24.24May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.20May 18, 01:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.54May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$5.0KMay 18, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$5.91May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$2.08May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$770.00May 17, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $592.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".