Calm-Supervision
0x48afe8fbde091ff3e616901dc92ef20862c289cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$-31.0K
Realised
$-5.7K
Win rate
52%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4696 shares @ 20.5¢·now 72.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$2.4K
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1613 shares @ 34.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$714.18
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1089 shares @ 45.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$615.19
$125.18
- NO
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
287 shares @ 54.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$217.75
$60.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4955 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$116.44
$-47.07
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
129 shares @ 34.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.42
$-17.95
- YES
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$-29.00
- YES
Services Down Parlay
256 shares @ 8.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.83
$-18.85
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.03
$2.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$-17.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $209.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".