French-Warmup
0x48b7e95cef1270aa22760d069f8f0fe14be5f103
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$23.1K
Total PnL
$7.0K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
5095 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
4470 shares @ 67.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.4K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3800 shares @ 63.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
4183 shares @ 62.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$1.0K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
3795 shares @ 78.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.6K
$598.84
- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
840 shares @ 72.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$743.40
$138.60
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
816 shares @ 77.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$725.83
$93.71
- NO
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
520 shares @ 45.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$455.43
$221.25
- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
351 shares @ 70.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$316.03
$68.64
- NO
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
291 shares @ 81.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$290.99
$53.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$11.98May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 16, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$65.36May 14, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$72.84May 14, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$69.66May 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$94.00May 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$26.75May 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$1.66May 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$18.06May 9, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.2KMay 9, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$1.6KMay 9, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$715.95Apr 21, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$240.16Apr 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$244.83Apr 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$3.55Apr 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$7.10Apr 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$385.00Apr 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$371.82Apr 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$100.31Apr 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$270.00Apr 15, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $117.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".