Gifted-Quill
0x49e412f0b0c92f4bc3eb709d1e44d16e53344efb
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$24.04
Total PnL
$-7.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.27
$1.27
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 17.6¢·now 12.2¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$3.47
$-1.53
- YES
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.13
$2.13
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 74.9¢·now 32.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.18
$-2.82
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.03May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$16.82May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? $1.00May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$1.02May 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$1.03May 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 13, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$1.01May 12, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$5.15May 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.31May 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.78May 10, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.89May 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$5.04May 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 6, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 6, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$4.02May 6, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$5.05May 6, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$0.00May 6, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00May 6, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by December 31?$0.00May 6, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by May 15?$0.00May 6, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".