Circular-Everybody
0x4ac2091962b903a7d31ac9784f09e4e1bf6532aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$97.20
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$24.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
31 shares @ 70.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$24.94
$2.94
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.91
$-3.09
- YES
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.96
$3.96
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
42 shares @ 14.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.09
$0.08
- YES
Halle Berry as Storm?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$6.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
27 shares @ 18.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$-0.29
- YES
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
24 shares @ 8.5¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.59
$1.59
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
42 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$0.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 17, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$20.92May 15, 17:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$1.04May 13, 03:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$5.21May 9, 16:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.04May 8, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$22.35May 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.44May 8, 02:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.05May 7, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".