Overlooked-Guilty
0x4ba4466ba485e8c18948a0a80ce4c9db05718a89
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-132.9K
Realised
$435.14
Win rate
71%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.0K
$3.00
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
1000 shares @ 91.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$962.49
$51.50
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
1045 shares @ 62.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$961.40
$308.10
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
961 shares @ 90.1¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$900.60
$34.60
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
544 shares @ 90.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$517.26
$23.16
- NO
ECB rate cut in 2026?
500 shares @ 47.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$440.00
$200.83
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2315 shares @ 19.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.46
$-301.95
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.50
$0.50
- NO
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
3000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.50
$-106.50
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6531 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.86
$-234.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $26.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".