Wild-Seizure
0x4d36c0e0d1d3e9c10d17787272c9fbbf55d552f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$909.75
Total PnL
$622.02
Realised
$384.19
Win rate
83%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
476 shares @ 15.8¢·now 35.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$167.80
$92.54
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
182 shares @ 35.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$115.46
$50.10
- YES
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
740 shares @ 0.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$70.67
$66.87
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
141 shares @ 50.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$44.72
$-26.61
- YES
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
1740 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$44.20
$44.21
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
41 shares @ 84.3¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$31.23
$-3.69
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
45 shares @ 2.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$26.32
$25.10
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 67.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.15
$3.80
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
30 shares @ 2.8¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$22.20
$21.36
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
30 shares @ 0.6¢·now 64.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.32
$19.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.0KMay 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$2.77May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$3.75May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.03May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 15%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Nieto win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 10% and 15%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 17, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".