Vain-Burn
0x4e521c06f756fbbf32c812d843a4dfe1e52b44e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-467.17
Realised
$-102.40
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
639 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$597.02
$17.02
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
440 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$432.97
$32.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$383.00
$11.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
219 shares @ 91.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$215.62
$15.62
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$188.00
$4.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
200 shares @ 89.8¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.70
$4.10
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
174 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.85
$7.85
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
1400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.00
$-203.00
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
135 shares @ 73.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.87
$23.87
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$120.56
$20.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$114.94May 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$76.08May 14, 12:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00May 10, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00May 10, 08:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.73May 8, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 4, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $22.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".