Pleasing-Elm
0x4ffe49ba2a4cae123536a8af4fda48faeb609f71
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$846.44
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
100%
141 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
2628 shares @ 0.2¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$126.15
$120.74
- YES
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
2352 shares @ 0.2¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$112.92
$108.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.9¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$103.42
$94.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?
1639 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$84.39
$67.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?
3622 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$65.20
$53.96
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?
950 shares @ 2.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$43.23
$16.23
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
1800 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$24.30
$-0.90
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1934 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.20
$-0.13
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
2187 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$18.59
$-1.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
4045 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$18.20
$10.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.28May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$8.20May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.28May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$8.06May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$1.71May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$3.35May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$9.28May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$9.00May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$8.99May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.09May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.09May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.70May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.64May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.43May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$0.30May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$2.77May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.09May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.24May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.11May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.11May 18, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 141 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".