0x50396e4d9d11d38b0dcfd75280101a315f50946d
0x50396e4d9d11d38b0dcfd75280101a315f50946d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$276.39
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2036 shares @ 42.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
3000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$15.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
1000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$940.49
$150.50
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
850 shares @ 73.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$786.24
$165.75
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
750 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$748.88
$34.13
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
489 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$483.62
$5.92
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
595 shares @ 56.2¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.96
$50.69
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 87.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$221.38
$3.13
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$197.80
$59.80
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$153.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.11May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.32May 18, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$203.65May 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$30.13May 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$22.04May 17, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$74.71May 17, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$0.30May 17, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.62May 17, 01:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.72May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$29.89May 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$7.13May 17, 00:22 UTC
- REWARD$2.23May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$0.90May 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$0.68May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$17.28May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$145.29May 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$73.78May 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$686.22May 16, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$198.87May 16, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$202.71May 16, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $152.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".