Gummy-Theater
0x562bc8068347268d9a69b8dd464d00eed0f9dc09
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$28.6K
Total PnL
$-135.26
Realised
$151.73
Win rate
96%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?
8070 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.1K
$84.57
- NO
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?
2210 shares @ 90.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.1K
$94.73
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1787 shares @ 82.1¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$-6.04
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
2561 shares @ 51.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-236.16
- YES
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?
989 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$975.30
$3.35
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
839 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$835.84
$15.04
- NO
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
1001 shares @ 83.2¢·now 74.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$749.16
$-83.76
- YES
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2026?
731 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$706.85
$6.94
- NO
Will between 13 and 15 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
678 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$657.30
$-2.43
- NO
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?
672 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$654.08
$14.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$70.24May 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$642.45May 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.44May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.82May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$213.72May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$127.86May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$127.73May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$212.24May 18, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$9.99May 18, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$61.06May 18, 02:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?$49.40May 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?$17.77May 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67.88May 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "BROWN - Chris Brown" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$185.96May 17, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$499.64May 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?$167.92May 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$354.78May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$354.78May 17, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have exactly 0 songs in the Billboard top 10?$17.69May 17, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $247.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".