0x57844e59259f8a06f66dc44eec87139ecbc734b8
0x57844e59259f8a06f66dc44eec87139ecbc734b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$609.61
Total PnL
$-329.18
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 69.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.85
$11.85
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
30 shares @ 8.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.20
$25.70
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
30 shares @ 33.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$27.30
$17.30
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
30 shares @ 3.4¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.80
$24.77
- YES
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?
30 shares @ 33.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$25.65
$15.65
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$23.57
$18.60
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$22.38
$17.41
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$21.75
$15.75
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
30 shares @ 11.1¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$20.70
$17.36
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$18.60
$15.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$21.30May 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.48May 21, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$47.75May 21, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$12.38May 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$420 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$2.04May 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?$1.44May 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $420-$425 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$2.64May 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$0.01May 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $430-$435 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$0.86May 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$1.97May 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $134-$136 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$0.64May 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$44.40May 21, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?$1.70May 21, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$6.51May 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$8.60May 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $134-$136 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$1.70May 21, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.90May 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $136-$138 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$3.42May 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$7.86May 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.63May 21, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $7.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 19:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".