Raw-Steam
0x588ce22fb2bf698e5a3f61447a44b3afe0ad1bf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$13.5K
Total PnL
$202.25
Realised
$895.73
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
1439 shares @ 76.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$20.17
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
5668 shares @ 11.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$378.74
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1063 shares @ 57.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$791.92
$178.49
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
800 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$656.00
$32.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
750 shares @ 66.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$596.25
$101.25
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1400 shares @ 23.6¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$538.99
$209.00
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
589 shares @ 84.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$503.69
$3.68
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
506 shares @ 90.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$473.31
$12.97
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$462.50
$52.50
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
550 shares @ 71.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$442.75
$51.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$162.00May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$169.31May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$115.61May 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$91.69May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.74May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$256.00May 17, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$81.00May 17, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$4.94May 17, 02:29 UTC
- REWARD$1.69May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$41.45May 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.32May 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$225.15May 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$20.85May 14, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$330.00May 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$450.00May 14, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$99.03May 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$4.96May 14, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$6.82May 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$21.12May 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.70May 13, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $102.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".