Favorable-Macaroon
0x5aad6df1c0c544ec30b351922ef9871e1dcadc28
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$80.68
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$136.17
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 11.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.10
$12.20
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.75
$0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 21?
82 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$12.29
$1.64
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.15
$0.55
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.25
$-1.45
- YES
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
50 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.65
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 20?
50 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.27
$-6.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?
350 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.17
$-2.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 20?
72 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.04
$-7.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 13?
1103 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 21?$11.11May 20, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 20?$0.16May 20, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 20?$1.54May 20, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 20?$4.52May 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?$7.42May 20, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 20?$3.58May 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?$3.70May 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 20?$1.87May 20, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 20?$2.10May 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 20?$2.20May 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 20?$1.73May 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?$4.00May 20, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?$1.90May 20, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$1.02May 20, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?$5.19May 20, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$2.00May 20, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 20?$1.17May 20, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 20?$2.16May 20, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 20?$1.34May 20, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 20?$0.00May 20, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".