Fabulous-Eponym
0x5ca71d4db029c5454210a858c6d98bca28668195
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$9.4K
Total PnL
$-13.7K
Realised
$-3.7K
Win rate
33%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
140000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$-3.5K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
220000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$-1.7K
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
15000 shares @ 12.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$975.00
$-925.42
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
20000 shares @ 10.5¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$950.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
125000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$500.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
2250 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.63
$-5.84
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
1500 shares @ 7.6¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$86.25
$-27.92
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.00
$-84.68
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1000 shares @ 7.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.00
$-11.75
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
5000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.00
$-126.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$19.88May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$9.75May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$4.78May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$2.09May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$0.25May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$0.98May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1.23May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$0.09May 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$23.40May 16, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.23May 16, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$12.66May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$302.26May 16, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$388.18May 16, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.08May 16, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$100.00May 16, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.02May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.02May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.30May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.17May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$74.40May 16, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $70.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".