Careful-Echidna
0x5d54a90a40cf3130c9e6a3924f3a9868f544e670
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.93
Total PnL
$-6.92
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- ANTHROPIC
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
2 shares @ 49.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?$1.01May 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.04May 19, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.12May 11, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00May 8, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.01May 7, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?$1.02May 6, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?$1.00May 4, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1.02May 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.01May 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.04May 3, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?$1.00May 2, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$1.01May 1, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.03Apr 30, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.06Apr 30, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Apr 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$1.00Apr 30, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.00Apr 30, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".