Trim-Caution
0x5ddde3b22f24ae9bf2de418882437f84d1990014
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-342.75
Realised
$-291.67
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
4748 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$117.74
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
318 shares @ 93.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 28, 2026$309.14
$11.37
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?
145 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 28, 2026$140.73
$6.12
- YES
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
84 shares @ 94.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.35
$-2.01
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
21357 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.39
$-18.73
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
50 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.35
$-0.10
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
136 shares @ 80.6¢·now 27.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.33
$-72.71
- YES
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
40 shares @ 86.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.19
$0.73
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
40 shares @ 77.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.80
$-1.30
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
30 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.75
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$22.97May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$48.45May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$4.21May 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$2.23May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$5.00May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$11.55May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.37May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$11.99May 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$22.89May 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$27.40May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$9.68May 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$73.10May 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$296.10May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$24.99May 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$12.31May 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$151.91May 17, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$97.81May 17, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$84.24May 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$5.00May 17, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$5.00May 17, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $71.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".