Spectacular-Markup
0x6218778eeed82a49ca459573f61e6190252ef344
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$690.58
Total PnL
$37.19
Realised
$40.72
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$117.27
$17.27
- YES
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
370 shares @ 5.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$76.06
$57.06
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
102 shares @ 68.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.75
$-2.25
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 92.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.92
$-1.08
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?
66 shares @ 92.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$54.04
$-6.97
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.60
$0.60
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
45 shares @ 89.4¢·now 95.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.54
$2.54
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
832 shares @ 2.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$32.87
$8.83
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
19 shares @ 86.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.69
$1.68
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
16 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.14
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.00May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$20.00May 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$5.00May 17, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.20May 16, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.47May 16, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$36.83May 16, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?$61.20May 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.00May 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.00May 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.32May 15, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.24May 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 14, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 14, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.20May 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 14, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".