Conventional-Guide
0x6312737af8c3f5a5a2b6ba23c5d65236c049f94e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$441.77
Win rate
65%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
8516 shares @ 11.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$510.94
$-439.13
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3500 shares @ 24.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$507.50
$-342.50
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 45.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$432.50
$207.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1200 shares @ 29.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$366.00
$13.00
- NO
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
389 shares @ 75.1¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$299.66
$7.44
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
292 shares @ 76.1¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.45
$-10.55
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
900 shares @ 25.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 18.9¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$149.16
$-2.20
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.00
$81.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$133.20
$-6.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$0.37May 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$0.05May 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$45.74May 17, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.00May 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$14.16May 17, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$35.22May 17, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$54.00May 17, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$50.00May 16, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.38May 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$12.10May 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$47.90May 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$57.61May 16, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$13.42May 16, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$0.92May 16, 01:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$20.16May 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$65.49May 15, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $43.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".