Disloyal-Thought
0x6785405533b87db3524126511ab7456036a022e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$80.97
Total PnL
$-366.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
4450 shares @ 6.5¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$53.40
$-233.89
- NO
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.25
$-27.75
- YES
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2836 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.09
$-14.12
- YES
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4507 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.76
$-41.60
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 8.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.88
$-19.12
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.70
$-3.30
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.70
$-1.50
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
64 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.19
$-3.22
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
487 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
40 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$54.60Apr 6, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$22.14Apr 3, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$7.50Apr 3, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$13.01Apr 3, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$2.23Apr 3, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$37.25Apr 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$83.03Apr 3, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$5.80Apr 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$0.94Apr 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?$5.06Apr 3, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?$1.30Apr 3, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$27.47Apr 3, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?$28.00Apr 3, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?$2.43Apr 2, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?$2.15Apr 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?$2.35Apr 2, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?$7.80Apr 2, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".