Jolly-Transcript
0x6ab35830ab13682bb34bbb3647a049218d5977d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$18.89
Total PnL
$-2.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.90
$0.40
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.60
$0.00
- NO
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.45
$-0.40
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.15
$-0.10
- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-1.45
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.93
$0.42
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.78
$-0.32
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
10 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.55
$-0.15
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.55
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?$0.24May 20, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$0.20May 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$0.50May 20, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$1.49May 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump kiss by May 31?$4.25May 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.70May 20, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?$2.50May 19, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?$2.50May 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$0.14May 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$0.14May 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.50May 19, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.60May 19, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$0.50May 19, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?$1.85May 19, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.10May 18, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor?$2.58May 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$0.14May 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$0.58May 18, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$0.67May 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$0.05May 18, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".