Selfish-Disco
0x6bc5d4869bc65e55eec9a1e46d69f2edeb6e33d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$249.78
Total PnL
$-189.79
Realised
$-34.99
Win rate
72%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 70.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.84
$-3.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?
50 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$47.69
$-0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?
49 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$46.66
$-0.18
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
20 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.59
$0.29
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
20 shares @ 92.8¢·now 97.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.52
$0.96
- NO
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
17 shares @ 82.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.44
$1.39
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.10
$-1.10
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.74
$0.84
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.88
$0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?$48.32May 20, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?$46.94May 20, 07:33 UTC
- REWARD$9.70May 20, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.22May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?$19.95May 19, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$29.73May 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$14.18May 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?$4.31May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.79May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.17May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?$9.99May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 18?$5.00May 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 18?$3.19May 17, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on May 21?$48.57May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$49.69May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 21?$24.35May 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on May 21?$2.76May 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on May 18?$8.13May 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 18?$15.98May 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 20?$36.65May 17, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $23.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".