Ecstatic-Postbox
0x6bf633e483ed85b5a73c5a387bdffdd100772529
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$227.90
Total PnL
$-597.13
Realised
$0.78
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
102 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.66
$0.06
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
32 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$31.54
$3.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 20?
22 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$22.50
$2.50
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
27 shares @ 84.6¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?
21 shares @ 46.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$21.47
$11.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.82
$10.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 20?
160 shares @ 6.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.05
$-5.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?
40 shares @ 11.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.56
$-3.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?
29 shares @ 34.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.14
$-8.86
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 20?$1.01May 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 20?$10.47May 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$1.40May 20, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$0.40May 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 20?$5.16May 20, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 20?$4.80May 20, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.20May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$71.63May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 20?$0.53May 20, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 20?$2.01May 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?$10.10May 20, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$2.05May 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$2.59May 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$10.27May 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?$2.01May 20, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?$2.07May 20, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$4.88May 20, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$10.33May 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$2.00May 20, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".